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Down 111.35 110.75 111.85
Down 1.1155 1.1090 1.1210
Down 1.2680 1.2610 1.2740
Down 0.9725 0.9670 0.9770
Down 0.7550 0.7495 0.7600
Down 1.3250 1.3180 1.3310
Down 124.15 123.50 124.70
    Last Update: 2017/06/23             上午 10:00

 

    Crude oil was subdued as investors’ doubts that Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)-led output cuts would dent a three-year glut offset data shown a drop in U.S. inventories prompted risk aversion supported JPY and narrowed U.S.-Japan 10-year yield differential that weighed on USD yesterday. On the other hand, JPY gained as Japan’s government raised its overall view of the economy for the first time in six months reflected a gradual pick-up in private consumption and underscored its confidence that an export-led recovery was broadening with a government official said a pick-up would be sustained on the back of the improving job market and households incomes which prompted the upgrade of the overall assessment, it pressured USD/JPY down to 110.92 day low.

    However, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Deputy Governor Kikuo Iwata dismissed the need to raise interest rates any time soon and stressed that the economy still required support from powerful monetary easing with inflation far from the BOJ’s 2% target added that he called for maintaining a loose pledge to increase BOJ’s government bond holdings at a 80 trillion JPY per year weighed on JPY. Besides, data shown weekly Initial Jobless Claims in U.S. increased to 241,000 but Leading Economic Indicators rose 0.3% as expected in May with Monthly Home Prices grew 0.7% and Home Prices Index edged up to 248.2 in April were stronger than forecast, it pushed USD/JPY up to 111.44 day high. Forecast USD/JPY will be capped below 111.35-55 with support at 110.60-80 today.

 

 

    NZD rallied provided support to riskier currencies after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept its benchmark interest rate at record lows of 1.75% and reiterated that it would keep them unchanged for a considerable period but made no clear effort to talk the NZD down at meeting yesterday. Apart from that, EUR strengthened as French Industrial Confidence figure for June slipped to 108 points in May but the Overall Business Confidence reading for France rose to a near six-year high, In addition, the European Central Bank (ECB) said in a regular economic bulletin that economic data pointed to solid growth in the Euro Zone in the second quarter and indicated a rebound in global growth after a rough patch pushed EUR higher. After a fresh estimate from the European Union (EU)’s statistics office Eurostat shown Euro Zone Consumer Confidence jumped much more than expected to minus 13 in June, EUR/USD climbed to 1.1177 day high.

    Nevertheless, sharp fall in oil prices prompted a key gauge of long-term Euro Zone inflation expectations closed in on 1.5% for the first time this year which was well off its February peak of 1.8% that added to concerns about inflation and whether the ECB would be able to tighten policy any time soon, it driven EUR/USD down to 1.1138 day low. Forecast EUR/USD will be sold from 1.1150-70 with support at 1.1080-1.1100 today.

 

 

    A split a the Bank of England (BOE) over monetary policy added further uncertainty to the outlook for Britain’s economy at it leaves the EU while Standard & Poor’s (S&P) Global’s sovereign ratings chief Moritz Kraemer said a breakdown in Brexit talks between Brussels and London would be negative for the U.K.’s credit rating hurt GBP yesterday. After British Finance Minister Philip Hammond said large amounts of business investment was being postponed because of uncertainty over a transition arrangement, GBP/USD inched lower to 1.2651 day low. Nonetheless, the latest survey by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) of trends in British manufacturing rose to plus 16 in June was the highest since 1988 helped to support GBP. After a senior Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) lawmaker said there was a very good chance that British Prime Minister Theresa May would strike a deal by next Thursday to get the support of DUP for her minority government and BOE Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member Kristin Forbes said she feared the GBP’s weakness would have a lasting upward effect on inflation that the BOE was becoming more reluctant to raise interest rates than in the past, GBP/USD rebounded to 1.2691 day high. Forecast GBP/USD will be heavy at 1.2680-1.2700 with support at around 1.2600-20 today.

 

 

 

Time Country Economic Data Month  Forecasts Previous
08:30 Japan Nikkei Manufacturing PMI Jun --- 53.1
12:45 France GDP QQ Final Q1 --- 0.4%
15:00 France Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash Jun 54.0 53.8
15:00 France Markit Services PMI Flash Jun 57.0 57.2
15:00 France Markit Composite PMI Flash Jun 56.7 56.9
15:30 Germany Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash Jun 56.0 56.5
15:30 Germany Markit Services PMI Flash Jun 55.5 55.4
15:30 Germany Markit Composite PMI Flash Jun 57.3 57.4
16:00 Italy Industrial Orders SA MM Apr --- -4.2%
16:00 Italy Industrial Orders NSA YY Apr --- 9.2%
16:00 Italy Industrial Sales SA MM Apr --- 0.5%
16:00 Italy Industrial Sales SA YY Apr --- 7.2%
16:00 Euro Zone Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash Jun 56.8 57.0
16:00 Euro Zone Markit Services PMI Flash Jun 56.2 56.3
16:00 Euro Zone Markit Composite PMI Flash Jun 56.6 56.8
20:30 Canada CPI MM May 0.2% 0.4%
20:30 Canada CPI YY May 1.5% 1.6%
20:30 Canada CPI SA MM May --- 0.5%
20:30 Canada Core CPI MM May --- 0.0%
21:45 U.S. Markit Composite PMI Flash Jun --- 53.6
21:45 U.S. Markit Manufacturing PMI Flash Jun 53.0 52.7
21:45 U.S. Markit Services PMI Flash Jun 53.7 53.6
22:00 U.S. New Home Sales May 0.597 mln 0.569 mln
22:00 U.S. New Home Sales Change May 5.4% -11.4%
23:15 U.S. St. Louis FED President Speaks -- --- ---

 

 

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